Mplus VERSION 6
MUTHEN & MUTHEN
04/25/2010  10:59 PM

INPUT INSTRUCTIONS

  Title:
      GMM

          ordered polyt variables for conviction at each age11-21
          dep. variable 0, 1 , 2 (0, 1, or more convictions)

  Data:

          file is naginORDERED.dat;

  Variable:

          names are u11 u12 u13 u14 u15
                    u16 u17 u18 u19 u20
                    u21 c1 c2 c3 c4 c;

          usevar      = u11-u21;
          categorical = u11-u21;


  Analysis:

      algo = int;


  Model:



     i s q | u11@-.6   u12@-.5   u13@-.4 u14@-.3
     u15@-.2 u16@-.1  u17@0   u18@.1 u19@.2
     u20@.3 u21@.4;

      q@0;




  Output:

          tech1 tech8;

  Plot:
          series = u11-u21(s);
          type = plot3;



*** WARNING in MODEL command
  All continuous latent variable covariances involving Q have been fixed to 0
  because the variance of Q is fixed at 0.
   1 WARNING(S) FOUND IN THE INPUT INSTRUCTIONS




GMM

ordered polyt variables for conviction at each age11-21
dep. variable 0, 1 , 2 (0, 1, or more convictions)

SUMMARY OF ANALYSIS

Number of groups                                                 1
Number of observations                                         403

Number of dependent variables                                   11
Number of independent variables                                  0
Number of continuous latent variables                            3

Observed dependent variables

  Binary and ordered categorical (ordinal)
   U11         U12         U13         U14         U15         U16
   U17         U18         U19         U20         U21

Continuous latent variables
   I           S           Q


Estimator                                                      MLR
Information matrix                                        OBSERVED
Optimization Specifications for the Quasi-Newton Algorithm for
Continuous Outcomes
  Maximum number of iterations                                 100
  Convergence criterion                                  0.100D-05
Optimization Specifications for the EM Algorithm
  Maximum number of iterations                                 500
  Convergence criteria
    Loglikelihood change                                 0.100D-02
    Relative loglikelihood change                        0.100D-05
    Derivative                                           0.100D-02
Optimization Specifications for the M step of the EM Algorithm for
Categorical Latent variables
  Number of M step iterations                                    1
  M step convergence criterion                           0.100D-02
  Basis for M step termination                           ITERATION
Optimization Specifications for the M step of the EM Algorithm for
Censored, Binary or Ordered Categorical (Ordinal), Unordered
Categorical (Nominal) and Count Outcomes
  Number of M step iterations                                    1
  M step convergence criterion                           0.100D-02
  Basis for M step termination                           ITERATION
  Maximum value for logit thresholds                            15
  Minimum value for logit thresholds                           -15
  Minimum expected cell size for chi-square              0.100D-01
Optimization algorithm                                         EMA
Integration Specifications
  Type                                                    STANDARD
  Number of integration points                                  15
  Dimensions of numerical integration                            2
  Adaptive quadrature                                           ON
Link                                                         LOGIT
Cholesky                                                        ON

Input data file(s)
  naginORDERED.dat
Input data format  FREE


UNIVARIATE PROPORTIONS AND COUNTS FOR CATEGORICAL VARIABLES

    U11
      Category 1    0.983      396.000
      Category 2    0.012        5.000
      Category 3    0.005        2.000
    U12
      Category 1    0.970      391.000
      Category 2    0.025       10.000
      Category 3    0.005        2.000
    U13
      Category 1    0.948      382.000
      Category 2    0.045       18.000
      Category 3    0.007        3.000
    U14
      Category 1    0.923      372.000
      Category 2    0.062       25.000
      Category 3    0.015        6.000
    U15
      Category 1    0.923      372.000
      Category 2    0.055       22.000
      Category 3    0.022        9.000
    U16
      Category 1    0.928      374.000
      Category 2    0.045       18.000
      Category 3    0.027       11.000
    U17
      Category 1    0.896      361.000
      Category 2    0.069       28.000
      Category 3    0.035       14.000
    U18
      Category 1    0.891      359.000
      Category 2    0.084       34.000
      Category 3    0.025       10.000
    U19
      Category 1    0.906      365.000
      Category 2    0.072       29.000
      Category 3    0.022        9.000
    U20
      Category 1    0.921      371.000
      Category 2    0.057       23.000
      Category 3    0.022        9.000
    U21
      Category 1    0.948      382.000
      Category 2    0.042       17.000
      Category 3    0.010        4.000



THE MODEL ESTIMATION TERMINATED NORMALLY



TESTS OF MODEL FIT

Loglikelihood

          H0 Value                       -1072.396
          H0 Scaling Correction Factor       0.990
            for MLR

Information Criteria

          Number of Free Parameters              7
          Akaike (AIC)                    2158.793
          Bayesian (BIC)                  2186.785
          Sample-Size Adjusted BIC        2164.574
            (n* = (n + 2) / 24)

Chi-Square Test of Model Fit for the Binary and Ordered Categorical
(Ordinal) Outcomes**

          Pearson Chi-Square

          Value                            834.707
          Degrees of Freedom                177112
          P-Value                           1.0000

          Likelihood Ratio Chi-Square

          Value                            228.963
          Degrees of Freedom                177112
          P-Value                           1.0000

** Of the 177147 cells in the latent class indicator table, 27
   were deleted in the calculation of chi-square due to extreme values.



MODEL RESULTS

                                                    Two-Tailed
                    Estimate       S.E.  Est./S.E.    P-Value

 I        |
    U11                1.000      0.000    999.000    999.000
    U12                1.000      0.000    999.000    999.000
    U13                1.000      0.000    999.000    999.000
    U14                1.000      0.000    999.000    999.000
    U15                1.000      0.000    999.000    999.000
    U16                1.000      0.000    999.000    999.000
    U17                1.000      0.000    999.000    999.000
    U18                1.000      0.000    999.000    999.000
    U19                1.000      0.000    999.000    999.000
    U20                1.000      0.000    999.000    999.000
    U21                1.000      0.000    999.000    999.000

 S        |
    U11               -0.600      0.000    999.000    999.000
    U12               -0.500      0.000    999.000    999.000
    U13               -0.400      0.000    999.000    999.000
    U14               -0.300      0.000    999.000    999.000
    U15               -0.200      0.000    999.000    999.000
    U16               -0.100      0.000    999.000    999.000
    U17                0.000      0.000    999.000    999.000
    U18                0.100      0.000    999.000    999.000
    U19                0.200      0.000    999.000    999.000
    U20                0.300      0.000    999.000    999.000
    U21                0.400      0.000    999.000    999.000

 Q        |
    U11                0.360      0.000    999.000    999.000
    U12                0.250      0.000    999.000    999.000
    U13                0.160      0.000    999.000    999.000
    U14                0.090      0.000    999.000    999.000
    U15                0.040      0.000    999.000    999.000
    U16                0.010      0.000    999.000    999.000
    U17                0.000      0.000    999.000    999.000
    U18                0.010      0.000    999.000    999.000
    U19                0.040      0.000    999.000    999.000
    U20                0.090      0.000    999.000    999.000
    U21                0.160      0.000    999.000    999.000

 S        WITH
    I                 -0.076      1.128     -0.067      0.946

 Means
    I                  0.000      0.000    999.000    999.000
    S                  0.403      0.655      0.616      0.538
    Q                 -7.032      1.069     -6.576      0.000

 Thresholds
    U11$1              3.624      0.228     15.897      0.000
    U11$2              5.454      0.268     20.320      0.000
    U12$1              3.624      0.228     15.897      0.000
    U12$2              5.454      0.268     20.320      0.000
    U13$1              3.624      0.228     15.897      0.000
    U13$2              5.454      0.268     20.320      0.000
    U14$1              3.624      0.228     15.897      0.000
    U14$2              5.454      0.268     20.320      0.000
    U15$1              3.624      0.228     15.897      0.000
    U15$2              5.454      0.268     20.320      0.000
    U16$1              3.624      0.228     15.897      0.000
    U16$2              5.454      0.268     20.320      0.000
    U17$1              3.624      0.228     15.897      0.000
    U17$2              5.454      0.268     20.320      0.000
    U18$1              3.624      0.228     15.897      0.000
    U18$2              5.454      0.268     20.320      0.000
    U19$1              3.624      0.228     15.897      0.000
    U19$2              5.454      0.268     20.320      0.000
    U20$1              3.624      0.228     15.897      0.000
    U20$2              5.454      0.268     20.320      0.000
    U21$1              3.624      0.228     15.897      0.000
    U21$2              5.454      0.268     20.320      0.000

 Variances
    I                  4.998      0.724      6.899      0.000
    S                  2.789      1.609      1.733      0.083
    Q                  0.000      0.000    999.000    999.000


QUALITY OF NUMERICAL RESULTS

     Condition Number for the Information Matrix              0.413E-02
       (ratio of smallest to largest eigenvalue)


TECHNICAL 1 OUTPUT


     PARAMETER SPECIFICATION


           TAU
              U11$1         U11$2         U12$1         U12$2         U13$1
              ________      ________      ________      ________      ________
 1                  6             7             6             7             6


           TAU
              U13$2         U14$1         U14$2         U15$1         U15$2
              ________      ________      ________      ________      ________
 1                  7             6             7             6             7


           TAU
              U16$1         U16$2         U17$1         U17$2         U18$1
              ________      ________      ________      ________      ________
 1                  6             7             6             7             6


           TAU
              U18$2         U19$1         U19$2         U20$1         U20$2
              ________      ________      ________      ________      ________
 1                  7             6             7             6             7


           TAU
              U21$1         U21$2
              ________      ________
 1                  6             7


           NU
              U11           U12           U13           U14           U15
              ________      ________      ________      ________      ________
 1                  0             0             0             0             0


           NU
              U16           U17           U18           U19           U20
              ________      ________      ________      ________      ________
 1                  0             0             0             0             0


           NU
              U21
              ________
 1                  0


           LAMBDA
              I             S             Q
              ________      ________      ________
 U11                0             0             0
 U12                0             0             0
 U13                0             0             0
 U14                0             0             0
 U15                0             0             0
 U16                0             0             0
 U17                0             0             0
 U18                0             0             0
 U19                0             0             0
 U20                0             0             0
 U21                0             0             0


           THETA
              U11           U12           U13           U14           U15
              ________      ________      ________      ________      ________
 U11                0
 U12                0             0
 U13                0             0             0
 U14                0             0             0             0
 U15                0             0             0             0             0
 U16                0             0             0             0             0
 U17                0             0             0             0             0
 U18                0             0             0             0             0
 U19                0             0             0             0             0
 U20                0             0             0             0             0
 U21                0             0             0             0             0


           THETA
              U16           U17           U18           U19           U20
              ________      ________      ________      ________      ________
 U16                0
 U17                0             0
 U18                0             0             0
 U19                0             0             0             0
 U20                0             0             0             0             0
 U21                0             0             0             0             0


           THETA
              U21
              ________
 U21                0


           ALPHA
              I             S             Q
              ________      ________      ________
 1                  0             1             2


           BETA
              I             S             Q
              ________      ________      ________
 I                  0             0             0
 S                  0             0             0
 Q                  0             0             0


           PSI
              I             S             Q
              ________      ________      ________
 I                  3
 S                  4             5
 Q                  0             0             0


     STARTING VALUES


           TAU
              U11$1         U11$2         U12$1         U12$2         U13$1
              ________      ________      ________      ________      ________
 1              2.710         4.200         2.710         4.200         2.710


           TAU
              U13$2         U14$1         U14$2         U15$1         U15$2
              ________      ________      ________      ________      ________
 1              4.200         2.710         4.200         2.710         4.200


           TAU
              U16$1         U16$2         U17$1         U17$2         U18$1
              ________      ________      ________      ________      ________
 1              2.710         4.200         2.710         4.200         2.710


           TAU
              U18$2         U19$1         U19$2         U20$1         U20$2
              ________      ________      ________      ________      ________
 1              4.200         2.710         4.200         2.710         4.200


           TAU
              U21$1         U21$2
              ________      ________
 1              2.710         4.200


           NU
              U11           U12           U13           U14           U15
              ________      ________      ________      ________      ________
 1              0.000         0.000         0.000         0.000         0.000


           NU
              U16           U17           U18           U19           U20
              ________      ________      ________      ________      ________
 1              0.000         0.000         0.000         0.000         0.000


           NU
              U21
              ________
 1              0.000


           LAMBDA
              I             S             Q
              ________      ________      ________
 U11            1.000        -0.600         0.360
 U12            1.000        -0.500         0.250
 U13            1.000        -0.400         0.160
 U14            1.000        -0.300         0.090
 U15            1.000        -0.200         0.040
 U16            1.000        -0.100         0.010
 U17            1.000         0.000         0.000
 U18            1.000         0.100         0.010
 U19            1.000         0.200         0.040
 U20            1.000         0.300         0.090
 U21            1.000         0.400         0.160


           THETA
              U11           U12           U13           U14           U15
              ________      ________      ________      ________      ________
 U11            1.000
 U12            0.000         1.000
 U13            0.000         0.000         1.000
 U14            0.000         0.000         0.000         1.000
 U15            0.000         0.000         0.000         0.000         1.000
 U16            0.000         0.000         0.000         0.000         0.000
 U17            0.000         0.000         0.000         0.000         0.000
 U18            0.000         0.000         0.000         0.000         0.000
 U19            0.000         0.000         0.000         0.000         0.000
 U20            0.000         0.000         0.000         0.000         0.000
 U21            0.000         0.000         0.000         0.000         0.000


           THETA
              U16           U17           U18           U19           U20
              ________      ________      ________      ________      ________
 U16            1.000
 U17            0.000         1.000
 U18            0.000         0.000         1.000
 U19            0.000         0.000         0.000         1.000
 U20            0.000         0.000         0.000         0.000         1.000
 U21            0.000         0.000         0.000         0.000         0.000


           THETA
              U21
              ________
 U21            1.000


           ALPHA
              I             S             Q
              ________      ________      ________
 1              0.000         0.000         0.000


           BETA
              I             S             Q
              ________      ________      ________
 I              0.000         0.000         0.000
 S              0.000         0.000         0.000
 Q              0.000         0.000         0.000


           PSI
              I             S             Q
              ________      ________      ________
 I              0.050
 S              0.000         0.050
 Q              0.000         0.000         0.000


TECHNICAL 8 OUTPUT


   E STEP  ITER  LOGLIKELIHOOD    ABS CHANGE   REL CHANGE  ALGORITHM
              1 -0.12796711D+04    0.0000000    0.0000000  EM
              2 -0.11734403D+04  106.2307827    0.0830141  FS
              3 -0.11352973D+04   38.1430380    0.0325053  FS
              4 -0.11136860D+04   21.6112876    0.0190358  FS
              5 -0.10970697D+04   16.6162348    0.0149200  FS
              6 -0.10845784D+04   12.4912976    0.0113861  FS
              7 -0.10767999D+04    7.7785793    0.0071720  FS
              8 -0.10733905D+04    3.4093139    0.0031662  FS
              9 -0.10725259D+04    0.8646632    0.0008055  FS
             10 -0.10724085D+04    0.1174037    0.0001095  FS
             11 -0.10723973D+04    0.0111777    0.0000104  FS
             12 -0.10723964D+04    0.0008879    0.0000008  FS


SAMPLE STATISTICS FOR ESTIMATED FACTOR SCORES


     SAMPLE STATISTICS


           Means
              I             S             Q
              ________      ________      ________
 1             -0.001         0.403        -7.032


           Covariances
              I             S             Q
              ________      ________      ________
 I              2.622
 S             -0.059         0.220
 Q              0.000         0.000         0.000


           Correlations
              I             S             Q
              ________      ________      ________
 I              1.000
 S             -0.077         1.000
 Q            999.000       999.000         1.000


PLOT INFORMATION

The following plots are available:

  Histograms (sample values, estimated factor scores)
  Scatterplots (sample values, estimated factor scores)
  Sample proportions
  Estimated probabilities
  Item characteristic curves
  Information curves

     Beginning Time:  22:59:01
        Ending Time:  22:59:02
       Elapsed Time:  00:00:01



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