Mplus VERSION 7.4
MUTHEN & MUTHEN
06/02/2016   5:16 PM

INPUT INSTRUCTIONS

  title:
      hypothetical potential outcome example data

  data:
      file = potential.txt;

  variable:
      names = x m y;
      usev = x m y mx;
      categorical = m;

  define:
      mx = m*x;

  analysis:
      estimator = mlr;

  model:
      y on m x mx;
      m on x;

  model indirect:
      y mod m mx x;

  output:
      sampstat tech1 tech8 cinterval;




INPUT READING TERMINATED NORMALLY




hypothetical potential outcome example data

SUMMARY OF ANALYSIS

Number of groups                                                 1
Number of observations                                           6

Number of dependent variables                                    2
Number of independent variables                                  2
Number of continuous latent variables                            0

Observed dependent variables

  Continuous
   Y

  Binary and ordered categorical (ordinal)
   M

Observed independent variables
   X           MX


Estimator                                                      MLR
Information matrix                                        OBSERVED
Optimization Specifications for the Quasi-Newton Algorithm for
Continuous Outcomes
  Maximum number of iterations                                 100
  Convergence criterion                                  0.100D-05
Optimization Specifications for the EM Algorithm
  Maximum number of iterations                                 500
  Convergence criteria
    Loglikelihood change                                 0.100D-02
    Relative loglikelihood change                        0.100D-05
    Derivative                                           0.100D-02
Optimization Specifications for the M step of the EM Algorithm for
Categorical Latent variables
  Number of M step iterations                                    1
  M step convergence criterion                           0.100D-02
  Basis for M step termination                           ITERATION
Optimization Specifications for the M step of the EM Algorithm for
Censored, Binary or Ordered Categorical (Ordinal), Unordered
Categorical (Nominal) and Count Outcomes
  Number of M step iterations                                    1
  M step convergence criterion                           0.100D-02
  Basis for M step termination                           ITERATION
  Maximum value for logit thresholds                            15
  Minimum value for logit thresholds                           -15
  Minimum expected cell size for chi-square              0.100D-01
Optimization algorithm                                         EMA
Integration Specifications
  Type                                                    STANDARD
  Number of integration points                                  15
  Dimensions of numerical integration                            0
  Adaptive quadrature                                           ON
Link                                                         LOGIT
Cholesky                                                       OFF

Input data file(s)
  potential.txt
Input data format  FREE


UNIVARIATE PROPORTIONS AND COUNTS FOR CATEGORICAL VARIABLES

    M
      Category 1    0.500            3.000
      Category 2    0.500            3.000


SAMPLE STATISTICS


     SAMPLE STATISTICS


           Means
              Y             X             MX
              ________      ________      ________
 1             10.167         0.500         0.333


           Covariances
              Y             X             MX
              ________      ________      ________
 Y              7.806
 X              0.583         0.250
 MX             0.778         0.167         0.222


           Correlations
              Y             X             MX
              ________      ________      ________
 Y              1.000
 X              0.418         1.000
 MX             0.591         0.707         1.000


UNIVARIATE SAMPLE STATISTICS


     UNIVARIATE HIGHER-ORDER MOMENT DESCRIPTIVE STATISTICS

         Variable/         Mean/     Skewness/   Minimum/ % with                Percentiles
        Sample Size      Variance    Kurtosis    Maximum  Min/Max      20%/60%    40%/80%    Median

     Y                    10.167      -0.584       5.000   16.67%       5.000      9.000     10.500
               6.000       7.806      -0.423      14.000   16.67%      11.000     12.000
     X                     0.500       0.000       0.000   50.00%       0.000      0.000      0.500
               6.000       0.250      -2.000       1.000   50.00%       1.000      1.000
     MX                    0.333       0.707       0.000   66.67%       0.000      0.000      0.000
               6.000       0.222      -1.500       1.000   33.33%       0.000      1.000

     THE STANDARD ERRORS OF THE MODEL PARAMETER ESTIMATES MAY NOT BE
     TRUSTWORTHY FOR SOME PARAMETERS DUE TO A NON-POSITIVE DEFINITE
     FIRST-ORDER DERIVATIVE PRODUCT MATRIX.  THIS MAY BE DUE TO THE STARTING
     VALUES BUT MAY ALSO BE AN INDICATION OF MODEL NONIDENTIFICATION.  THE
     CONDITION NUMBER IS       0.259D-15.  PROBLEM INVOLVING THE FOLLOWING PARAMETER:
     Parameter 4, Y ON X

     NOTE THAT THE NUMBER OF PARAMETERS IS GREATER THAN THE SAMPLE SIZE.


THE MODEL ESTIMATION TERMINATED NORMALLY



MODEL FIT INFORMATION

Number of Free Parameters                        7

Loglikelihood

          H0 Value                         -17.059
          H0 Scaling Correction Factor      0.8010
            for MLR

Information Criteria

          Akaike (AIC)                      48.119
          Bayesian (BIC)                    46.661
          Sample-Size Adjusted BIC          26.428
            (n* = (n + 2) / 24)



MODEL RESULTS

                                                    Two-Tailed
                    Estimate       S.E.  Est./S.E.    P-Value

 Y          ON
    M                  1.500      2.475      0.606      0.544
    X                  0.500      2.475      0.202      0.840
    MX                 2.000      2.693      0.743      0.458

 M          ON
    X                  1.386      1.732      0.800      0.423

 Intercepts
    Y                  8.500      2.475      3.435      0.001

 Thresholds
    M$1                0.693      1.225      0.566      0.571

 Residual Variances
    Y                  4.833      2.174      2.224      0.026


LOGISTIC REGRESSION ODDS RATIO RESULTS

 M          ON
    X                  4.000


QUALITY OF NUMERICAL RESULTS

     Condition Number for the Information Matrix              0.259E-15
       (ratio of smallest to largest eigenvalue)



TOTAL, INDIRECT, AND DIRECT EFFECTS BASED ON COUNTERFACTUALS (CAUSALLY-DEFINED EFFECTS)


                                                    Two-Tailed
                    Estimate       S.E.  Est./S.E.    P-Value

Effects from X to Y

  Tot natural IE       1.167      1.393      0.838      0.402
  Pure natural DE      1.167      1.773      0.658      0.511
  Total effect         2.333      2.073      1.126      0.260

 Other effects

  Pure natural IE      0.500      1.007      0.497      0.619
  Tot natural DE       1.833      1.215      1.509      0.131
  Total effect         2.333      2.073      1.126      0.260


CONFIDENCE INTERVALS OF MODEL RESULTS

                  Lower .5%  Lower 2.5%    Lower 5%    Estimate    Upper 5%  Upper 2.5%   Upper .5%

 Y        ON
    M               -4.875      -3.351      -2.571       1.500       5.571       6.351       7.875
    X               -5.875      -4.351      -3.571       0.500       4.571       5.351       6.875
    MX              -4.936      -3.277      -2.429       2.000       6.429       7.277       8.936

 M        ON
    X               -3.075      -2.009      -1.463       1.386       4.236       4.781       5.848

 Intercepts
    Y                2.125       3.649       4.429       8.500      12.571      13.351      14.875

 Thresholds
    M$1             -2.462      -1.707      -1.322       0.693       2.708       3.094       3.848

 Residual Variances
    Y               -0.765       0.573       1.258       4.833       8.409       9.094      10.432


CONFIDENCE INTERVALS FOR THE LOGISTIC REGRESSION ODDS RATIO RESULTS

 M        ON
    X                0.046       0.134       0.232       4.000      69.097     119.237     346.440



CONFIDENCE INTERVALS OF TOTAL, INDIRECT, AND DIRECT EFFECTS BASED ON COUNTERFACTUALS (CAUSALLY-DEFINED EFFECTS)


                  Lower .5%  Lower 2.5%    Lower 5%    Estimate    Upper 5%  Upper 2.5%   Upper .5%

Effects from X to Y

  Tot natural IE    -2.421      -1.563      -1.124       1.167       3.458       3.896       4.754
  Pure natural DE   -3.400      -2.308      -1.750       1.167       4.083       4.642       5.734
  Total effect      -3.006      -1.729      -1.076       2.333       5.743       6.396       7.672

 Other effects

  Pure natural IE   -2.094      -1.474      -1.156       0.500       2.156       2.474       3.094
  Tot natural DE    -1.297      -0.549      -0.166       1.833       3.832       4.215       4.964
  Total effect      -3.006      -1.729      -1.076       2.333       5.743       6.396       7.672


TECHNICAL 1 OUTPUT


     PARAMETER SPECIFICATION


           TAU
              M$1
              ________
 1                  7


           NU
              M             Y             X             MX
              ________      ________      ________      ________
 1                  0             0             0             0


           LAMBDA
              M             Y             X             MX
              ________      ________      ________      ________
 M                  0             0             0             0
 Y                  0             0             0             0
 X                  0             0             0             0
 MX                 0             0             0             0


           THETA
              M             Y             X             MX
              ________      ________      ________      ________
 M                  0
 Y                  0             0
 X                  0             0             0
 MX                 0             0             0             0


           ALPHA
              M             Y             X             MX
              ________      ________      ________      ________
 1                  0             1             0             0


           BETA
              M             Y             X             MX
              ________      ________      ________      ________
 M                  0             0             2             0
 Y                  3             0             4             5
 X                  0             0             0             0
 MX                 0             0             0             0


           PSI
              M             Y             X             MX
              ________      ________      ________      ________
 M                  0
 Y                  0             6
 X                  0             0             0
 MX                 0             0             0             0


     STARTING VALUES


           TAU
              M$1
              ________
 1              0.000


           NU
              M             Y             X             MX
              ________      ________      ________      ________
 1              0.000         0.000         0.000         0.000


           LAMBDA
              M             Y             X             MX
              ________      ________      ________      ________
 M              1.000         0.000         0.000         0.000
 Y              0.000         1.000         0.000         0.000
 X              0.000         0.000         1.000         0.000
 MX             0.000         0.000         0.000         1.000


           THETA
              M             Y             X             MX
              ________      ________      ________      ________
 M              0.000
 Y              0.000         0.000
 X              0.000         0.000         0.000
 MX             0.000         0.000         0.000         0.000


           ALPHA
              M             Y             X             MX
              ________      ________      ________      ________
 1              0.000        10.167         0.000         0.000


           BETA
              M             Y             X             MX
              ________      ________      ________      ________
 M              0.000         0.000         0.000         0.000
 Y              0.000         0.000         0.000         0.000
 X              0.000         0.000         0.000         0.000
 MX             0.000         0.000         0.000         0.000


           PSI
              M             Y             X             MX
              ________      ________      ________      ________
 M              1.000
 Y              0.000         3.903
 X              0.000         0.000         0.125
 MX             0.000         0.000         0.000         0.111


TECHNICAL 8 OUTPUT


   E STEP  ITER  LOGLIKELIHOOD    ABS CHANGE   REL CHANGE  ALGORITHM
              1 -0.19757580D+02    0.0000000    0.0000000  EM
              2 -0.17059794D+02    2.6977859    0.1365443  EM
              3 -0.17059325D+02    0.0004688    0.0000275  EM
              4 -0.17059325D+02    0.0000000    0.0000000  EM


DIAGRAM INFORMATION

  Use View Diagram under the Diagram menu in the Mplus Editor to view the diagram.
  If running Mplus from the Mplus Diagrammer, the diagram opens automatically.

  Diagram output
    c:\users\gryphon\desktop\chapter8\ex8.22.dgm

     Beginning Time:  17:16:53
        Ending Time:  17:16:53
       Elapsed Time:  00:00:00



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