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Wednesday,
February 13, 2002
8:30
AM - 5:00 PM
Overview
of Methodologic Advances and Maximizing Their Impact on the Field
of Prevention Research |
| This
part of the meeting will address the following questions: |
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A.
What methodologic problems are now solvable and how do they address
the prevention research agenda
B. What currently unresolved prevention research questions need to
drive our methodologic work
C. What data need to be collected for the next phase of prevention
research |
| Introduction
8:30
- 8:35 Bengt Muthén,
UCLA
8:35 - 8:40 Hendricks Brown, USF
8:40 - 9:00 General Introductions
Role
of methodology in prevention of mental disorders
Jane Pearson, NIMH
I.
The Effect of Preventive Interventions on Development and Variation
in Impact
Paradigms
and principles for prevention science
Sheppard Kellam, American Institutes for Research
Where we have come methodologically
Bengt Muthén,
UCLA |
| |
A.
Growth Mixture Modeling
Discussion
Leaders
Bengt Muthén, UCLA
Sheppard Kellam, American Institutes for Research |
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|
1.
Examining growth heterogeneity: Understanding individual trajectory
patterns
Bengt Muthén,
UCLA |
2.
Incorporating time to event data in growth modeling: Are times to
diagnoses related to growth patterns?
Katherine Masyn, UCLA
Klaus Larsen, UCLA |
3.
Incorporating multi-level modeling: Integrating nested ecological
levels
Bengt Muthén,
UCLA
Beth Vanfossen, Towson University |
| Coffee
break |
| |
|
4.
Analytic methods for non-normal longitudinal data and interactions
among latent variables
: Examining
alcohol use, drug use and symptoms; examining moderation
Bengt Muthen, UCLA
Gitta Lubke, UCLA
Andreas Klein, UCLA |
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|
5.
Other technical problems of importance for prevention |
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a.
Model Selection, Diagnosis and Pseudo-classes for mixture problems:
Finding the best model involving multiple trajectories
Hendricks Brown, USF |
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b.
Crossed random effects: Changing neighborhoods; mesosystem impact
Mike Stoolmiller, OSLC |
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c.
Incorporating effects on non-controlled or partially controlled interventions:
Variation in Implementation, medical treatment exposure histories,
services, and social adjudications; "rescues"
Hendricks Brown, USF |
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d.
Dynamical systems modeling |
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e.
Integrating Genetics:
Gitta Lubke
Steve Faraone |
| Lunch
(at UCLA restaurants)
Role
of methodology in prevention of drug use
Liz Robertson, NIDA |
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B.
Perspectives on Missing Data in Prevention
Discussion
Leaders
Hendricks Brown, USF
Nick Ialongo, Johns Hopkins University |
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|
1.
Modeling multiple patterns of missing data for growth trajectories:
How different causes of attrition relate to growth patterns
Bengt Muthen, UCLA |
| |
|
2.
Identifying extremal non-ignorable missing data mechanisms: What to
do when you can't be sure you know why data are missing
Hendricks
Brown, USF |
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|
3.
Modeling implementation and participation/adherence, and dosage effects:
Understanding intervention effects by going beyond intent to treat
analyses
Booil Jo, UCLA
Nick Ialongo, Johns Hopkins University |
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|
4.
Missing Data and Nonresponse: General perspectives on missing data
in prevention
Joe Schafer, Penn State University |
| Break |
|
C.
Designs for Preventive Trials
Discussion
Leaders
Bengt Muthen, UCLA
Jane Pearson, NIMH |
| |
|
1.
Methods for maximizing statistical power: Multilevel interventions,
follow-up designs
Hendricks Brown, USF
Tom Dishion, University Oregon |
| |
|
2.
Designing effectiveness, implementation, and scalability trials
Naihua Duan, UCLA
Sheppard Kellam, American Institutes for Research |
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|
3.
Designs for low baserate disorders
Hendricks Brown, USF
Steve Faraone, Harvard University |
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D.
Analytical methods for dyadic and group interactions
Discussion Leaders
Hendricks Brown, USF
Jose Szapocznik, University ofMiami
Getachew
Dagne, USF
George Howe, George Washington University
Jim Snyder, Wichita State University
Mike Stoolmiller, OSLC |
Thursday,
February 14, 2002
8:30 AM - 6:30 PM
Methodologic Developments Necessary for the Prevention of Conduct Problems
and Mental Disorders, Drug, and
Alcohol Abuse
| Introduction
8:30
- 8:40 Sheppard Kellam, AIR
8:40 - 8:50 John Reid, OSLC
8:50 - 9:00 Jose Szapocznik, University of Miami
9:00 - 9:10 Ming Tsuang, Harvard University
9:10 - 9:20 Nick Ialongo, Johns Hopkins University
A.
Substantive Themes |
| |
1.
Research Activities on the Prevention of Aggression, Conduct Disorder,
Antisocial Personality Disorder
Jane Pearson, NIMH
Charles Martinez, OSLC
Sheppard Kellam, AIR |
| Break |
| |
2.
Research Activities on the Prevention of Drug Abuse
Liz Robertson, NIDA
Tom Dishion, University of Oregon
Jose Szapocznik, Dan Feaster, University of Miami |
tr>
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3.
Research Activities on ADHD and Prevention of Psychosis
Ming Tsuang, Harvard University
Steve Faraone, Harvard University |
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4.
Research Activities on Children with SED
Paul Greenbaum, USF |
| Lunch
(at UCLA restaurants) |
| B.
Cross-Cutting Methodologic Themes |
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1.
Analyzing Long Sequences of Data |
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|
a.
Long Panel Studies in Prevention
Charles Martinez, OSLC
Paul Greenbaum, USF |
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|
b.
Dyadic Behavior Observation Data
George Howe, George Washington University
Jim Snyder, Wichita State University
Tom Dishion, University of Oregon |
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|
c.
Longitudinal Data Across Multiple Stages of Life
Nick Ialongo, Johns Hopkins University
Hanno Petras, Johns Hopkins University |
| Break |
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2.
Impact of Contextual Effects on Intervention Effectiveness
Jose Szapocznik, University of Miami
Sheppard Kellam, AIR
Tom Dishion, University of Oregon |
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3.
Preventive Interventions for Low Baserate and Serious Mental Disorders
Ming Tsuang, Harvard University
Steve Faraone, Harvard University
Hendricks Brown, USF |
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4.
Economic Analyses in Prevention
Alka Indurkhya, Harvard University
Nick Ialongo, Johns Hopkins University |
|
Reception, at Moore Hall Reading Room (3340) |
Friday
February 15, 2002
8:00AM - 4:00PM
Methodologic Development and Collaboration on Prevention Research
| 8:00-10:00 |
10:00-10:15 |
10:15-11:00 |
11:00 |
11:30-1:30
|
1:30-4:00
|
|
Discussion |
Break |
Development
of New Grant Proposals |
Ending
of Regular PSMG Meeting |
Lunch |
Model
Checking and Model Refinement in Evaluating Preventive Trials: Issues
on the Use of Pseudoclasses |
Discussion
8:00-10:00
Discussion Leaders
Hendricks
Brown, USF
Bengt Muthen, UCLA
Jane Pearson, NIMH
Liz Robertson, NIDA
1.
Disseminating Methodologies to the Prevention and Treatment Field
2.
Collaborating on Designing Field Trials and Analyzing Data Prevention
Data
Break
3.
Development of New Grant Proposals
Ending
of Regular PSMG Meeting
Lunch
(at neighboring restaurants)
11:30-1:30
Model
Checking and Model Refinement in Evaluating Preventive Trials: Issues
on the Use of Pseudoclasses
1:30-4:00
Karen
Bandeen Roche, Johns Hopkins University
Chen-Pin Wang, USF
Bengt Muthen, UCLA
Hendricks Brown, USF
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